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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241beachboy4BreakTheBankmorito181
Record (consensus markets)56% (101–79, n=180)67% (43–21, n=64)45% (547–663, n=1210)69% (533–239, n=772)
Consensus PnL$3.5M$6.1M$11.0M$1.1M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #373was PM monthly #24PM monthly #1PM monthly #189 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)57% (64 of 113 open)77% (115 of 150 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=93—Mentions −13 pts, n=19
Settled positions, side won94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%71% of 920 at avg 70¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 75% of 8)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 81% of 57)22% (won 6% of 201)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 93% of 29)30% (won 57% of 63)36% (won 98% of 201)5% (won 43% of 47)
Entries 50–70¢42% (won 96% of 47)54% (won 51% of 115)35% (won 99% of 196)6% (won 54% of 57)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 96% of 27)14% (won 86% of 29)19% (won 100% of 109)67% (won 96% of 615)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241beachboy4BreakTheBankmorito181
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.6MYes $6.4K
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $77KNo $14K
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $52KYes $14K
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $43KNo $20K
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $1.7KNo $33K
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $28KYes $1.4K
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $54KYes $10
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
——No $42KNo $9.3K
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $28KYes $6