Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241MadridTimeprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market47% (1123–1262, n=2385)50% (1105–1116, n=2221)47% (14161–15670, n=29831)
Consensus PnL—-$28K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked as—was PM monthly #953PM monthly #48PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position42% (8 of 19 open)50% (9 of 18 open)56% (44 of 79 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +48 pts n=71, ROI +49%
  • Soccer +23 pts n=369, ROI +27%
  • Tennis +21 pts n=32, ROI +21%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 501 at avg 72¢, ROI +30%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—5% (won 100% of 26)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢—17% (won 100% of 85)41% (won 99% of 412)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢—19% (won 100% of 94)50% (won 99% of 503)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up—59% (won 100% of 296)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241MadridTimeprimmRN1
Spread: Jaguars (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Jaguars $35Ravens $9.7KJaguars $6.1K
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.2KUnder $1.8KOver $253
James Madison vs. Southern Miss
same side · consensus James Madison
—Southern Miss $72Southern Miss $32Southern Miss $365
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 30.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $12KOver $3.5K
Spread: UTSA (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
——Florida Atlantic $2.4KUTSA $302
Spread: James Madison (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus James Madison
——James Madison $1.6KSouthern Miss $408
Spread: James Madison (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Southern Miss
——James Madison $1.4KSouthern Miss $268
Spread: Jaguars (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Ravens $560Jaguars $174
South Carolina State vs. Howard
same side · consensus South Carolina State
—Howard $21—Howard $2.9K
Spread: Jaguars (-16.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
——Ravens $230Ravens $1.8K
Spread: Jaguars (-13.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
——Ravens $1.1KRavens $654
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 59.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $249Over $749—
Spread: James Madison (-13.5)
same side · consensus James Madison
—Southern Miss $8—Southern Miss $832
Spread: South Carolina State (-7.5)
same side · consensus South Carolina State
—Howard $45—Howard $642