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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | morito181 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 45% (546–663, n=1209) | 69% (525–240, n=765) | 47% (12761–14165, n=26926) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $11.2M | $1.1M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #132 + pinned | PM monthly #23 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 69% (44 of 64 open) | 78% (119 of 152 open) | 67% (79 of 118 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | Mentions −13 pts, n=19 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 71% of 920 at avg 70¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 22% (won 6% of 201) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 5% (won 43% of 47) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 6% (won 54% of 57) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 67% (won 96% of 615) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | morito181 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $585K | Yes $14K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $84 | No $35K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $2.1K | No $25K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $2.0K | Yes $24K | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $19K | Yes $1.7K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $3.1K | No $14K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $376K | Yes $15K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | — | No $55K | No $16K | — |