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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | WagerWizard | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 47% (14225–15839, n=30064) | 96% (13210–570, n=13780) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.5M | $11.0M | $14.8M | $105K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #18 + pinned | PM monthly #819 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 83% (157 of 189 open) | 55% (39 of 71 open) | 0% (0 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 6775 at avg 82¢, ROI +14% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) | 4% (won 73% of 240) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) | 9% (won 91% of 624) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) | 11% (won 97% of 755) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) | 76% (won 100% of 5156) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | WagerWizard |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $3.3K | Yes $11 |
| CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $3.8K | Over $128 |