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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBankCUTJALENHURTSFlaznorp
Record (consensus markets)no settled market46% (560–665, n=1225)52% (5357–4920, n=10277)53% (5923–5296, n=11219)
Consensus PnL—$11.2M$638K$3.3M
Tracked as—PM monthly #2PM monthly #55PM monthly #21
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position48% (10 of 21 open)62% (85 of 137 open)63% (199 of 315 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Golf −2 pts, n=108Other Sports −13 pts, n=22
Settled positions, side won—97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%54% of 10170 at avg 51¢, ROI +4%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 81% of 57)13% (won 19% of 1341)29% (won 11% of 423)
Entries 30–50¢—36% (won 98% of 201)35% (won 46% of 3607)16% (won 40% of 243)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 99% of 196)35% (won 61% of 3523)17% (won 62% of 255)
Entries 70¢ and up—19% (won 100% of 109)17% (won 86% of 1699)38% (won 94% of 561)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBankCUTJALENHURTSFlaznorp
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $28No $18K—
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.0KNo $15K—
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2.2KNo $4.8K—
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $25Over $157
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $765KNo $14K—
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $22KYes $2.0K—
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $15KYes $811—
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.6KYes $376—
Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)
same side · consensus Manchester City FC
——RB Leipzig $1.7KRB Leipzig $114
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $80Yes $1.6K—
Spread: RB Leipzig (-2.5)
same side · consensus RB Leipzig
——RB Leipzig $1.2KRB Leipzig $14
Spread: SK Slavia Praha (-1.5)
same side · consensus SK Slavia Praha
——SK Slavia Praha $520SK Slavia Praha $107
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $164Yes $42—