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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241739633786Flaznorpndb1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market89% (305–39, n=344)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)65% (889–469, n=1358)
Consensus PnL—-$120K$3.3M$4.2M
Tracked as—PM monthly #946PM monthly #16PM monthly #140
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position17% (1 of 6 open)65% (163 of 249 open)73% (33 of 45 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +48 pts n=326, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +50 pts n=38, ROI +50%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won—98% of 373 at avg 50¢, ROI +47%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢—1% (won 100% of 2)29% (won 11% of 423)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢—53% (won 97% of 196)16% (won 40% of 243)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢—47% (won 98% of 175)17% (won 62% of 255)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up—0%38% (won 94% of 561)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241739633786Flaznorpndb1
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
—Pistons $1.2K76ers $776—
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)
same side · consensus Kings
—Lakers $1.2KLakers $595—
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $1.6KSpurs $71—
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
—Bucks $1.0KBucks $210—
Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 213.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $992Under $118—