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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188eleonorrigbyfantasy7788Flaznorp
Record (consensus markets)54% (13–11, n=24)59% (10–7, n=17)56% (25–20, n=45)71% (3118–1302, n=4420)
Consensus PnL$841K$34K$861K$661K
Tracked asPM monthly #22PM monthly #922PM monthly #19PM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus60% (3 of 5 open)0% (0 of 1 open)50% (1 of 2 open)54% (108 of 199 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———Soccer −1 pts, n=653
Settled positions, side won100% of 13 at avg 50¢, ROI +50%100% of 10 at avg 57¢, ROI +42%100% of 24 at avg 48¢, ROI +53%41% of 1384 at avg 42¢, ROI −2%
Entries under 30¢0%10% (won 100% of 1)4% (won 100% of 1)41% (won 5% of 566)
Entries 30–50¢46% (won 100% of 6)20% (won 100% of 2)58% (won 100% of 14)24% (won 38% of 335)
Entries 50–70¢54% (won 100% of 7)40% (won 100% of 4)33% (won 100% of 8)11% (won 62% of 157)
Entries 70¢ and up0%30% (won 100% of 3)4% (won 100% of 1)24% (won 94% of 326)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188eleonorrigbyfantasy7788Flaznorp
Hornets vs. Clippers
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
——Clippers $35KHornets $6.5K
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Spurs $9.7K——Jazz $2.2K
Spurs vs. Jazz
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
——Jazz $6.6KSpurs $2.4K
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
Raptors $79K——Raptors $539
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
Raptors $23K——Raptors $421