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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188Kch-Tempnigiri99visselkobe
Record (consensus markets)54% (13–11, n=24)70% (16–7, n=23)53% (578–504, n=1082)57% (4–3, n=7)
Consensus PnL$841K$592K$634K$25K
Tracked asPM monthly #22was PM monthly #256PM monthly #49PM monthly #895
Sides with the consensus60% (3 of 5 open)60% (3 of 5 open)59% (47 of 80 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 13 at avg 50¢, ROI +50%100% of 10 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%75% of 826 at avg 53¢, ROI +13%100% of 4 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢0%10% (won 100% of 1)13% (won 41% of 104)0%
Entries 30–50¢46% (won 100% of 6)30% (won 100% of 3)25% (won 70% of 203)50% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 50–70¢54% (won 100% of 7)60% (won 100% of 6)45% (won 78% of 370)50% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 70¢ and up0%0%18% (won 97% of 149)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188Kch-Tempnigiri99visselkobe
49ers vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
—Cowboys $15K49ers $109K—
Seahawks vs. Raiders: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $19KUnder $22K—
Steelers vs. Bengals
opposite sides · consensus Bengals
—Bengals $16KSteelers $317—
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Spurs $9.7K—Jazz $923—
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
Raptors $79K—Raptors $14K—
Knicks vs. Raptors
same side · consensus Knicks
Raptors $49K—Raptors $4.2K—