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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188Flaznorpsashasasha5VirIntrepidus
Record (consensus markets)54% (13–11, n=24)70% (3052–1278, n=4330)49% (21–22, n=43)90% (19–2, n=21)
Consensus PnL$841K$539K$15K$531K
Tracked asPM monthly #22PM monthly #7PM monthly #935PM monthly #67
Sides with the consensus100% (2 of 2 open)52% (96 of 185 open)0% (0 of 1 open)60% (3 of 5 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +51 pts n=15, ROI +40%
Weakest topic—Soccer −1 pts, n=653——
Settled positions, side won100% of 13 at avg 50¢, ROI +50%41% of 1384 at avg 42¢, ROI −2%100% of 29 at avg 59¢, ROI +43%100% of 15 at avg 49¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢0%41% (won 5% of 566)7% (won 100% of 2)13% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢46% (won 100% of 6)24% (won 38% of 335)34% (won 100% of 10)40% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 50–70¢54% (won 100% of 7)11% (won 62% of 157)28% (won 100% of 8)33% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up0%24% (won 94% of 326)31% (won 100% of 9)13% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188Flaznorpsashasasha5VirIntrepidus
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
Spurs $12KJazz $1.5K——
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $584—Seahawks $46K
Spread: Spurs (-14.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
Spurs $30KSpurs $13——
49ers vs. Cowboys
same side · consensus 49ers
—Cowboys $11—Cowboys $204