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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghightian888
Record (consensus markets)62% (8–5, n=13)74% (1379–477, n=1856)45% (317–381, n=698)no settled market
Consensus PnL$624K$296K$248K—
Tracked asPM monthly #37PM monthly #19PM monthly #31PM monthly #807
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position68% (129 of 191 open)52% (15 of 29 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topic—College Basketball −3 pts, n=123——
Settled positions, side won100% of 8 at avg 51¢, ROI +49%48% of 490 at avg 48¢, ROI 0%100% of 228 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%—
Entries under 30¢0%32% (won 5% of 159)7% (won 100% of 15)—
Entries 30–50¢38% (won 100% of 3)24% (won 43% of 119)39% (won 100% of 88)—
Entries 50–70¢63% (won 100% of 5)14% (won 61% of 70)47% (won 100% of 108)—
Entries 70¢ and up0%29% (won 95% of 142)7% (won 100% of 17)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghightian888
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
—76ers $181Raptors $4.8K—
Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $183Over $882—
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
—76ers $64076ers $29K—
Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $86Over $25K—
Lima: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Gonzalo Bueno
same side · consensus Gonzalo Bueno
—Gonzalo Bueno $346Gonzalo Bueno $1.8K—
W50 Chihuahua: Malaika Rapolu vs Jessica Hinojosa Gomez
same side · consensus Jessica Hinojosa Gomez
—Malaika Rapolu $135Malaika Rapolu $6—