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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | Danny8273 | HomeRunHazard | VirIntrepidus | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (13–11, n=24) | 81% (21–5, n=26) | 52% (591–550, n=1141) | 90% (18–2, n=20) |
| Consensus PnL | $841K | $6.4K | $385K | $530K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #22 | was PM monthly #921 | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #67 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 62% (92 of 149 open) | 60% (6 of 10 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 13 at avg 50¢, ROI +50% | 88% of 25 at avg 72¢, ROI +11% | 100% of 317 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | 100% of 15 at avg 49¢, ROI +40% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 0% | 2% (won 100% of 6) | 13% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 46% (won 100% of 6) | 0% | 32% (won 100% of 100) | 40% (won 100% of 6) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 54% (won 100% of 7) | 36% (won 78% of 9) | 60% (won 100% of 189) | 33% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 64% (won 94% of 16) | 7% (won 100% of 22) | 13% (won 100% of 2) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | Danny8273 | HomeRunHazard | VirIntrepidus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Titans | — | — | Jaguars $4.3K | Titans $109K |
| Bills vs. Jets opposite sides · consensus Bills | — | — | Bills $29K | Jets $54K |
| 49ers vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus 49ers | — | — | 49ers $25K | Cowboys $275 |
| Spread: Packers (-2.5) same side · consensus Packers | — | — | Vikings $12K | Vikings $12K |
| Spread: 49ers (-4.5) same side · consensus Cowboys | — | — | Cowboys $2.3K | Cowboys $5.8K |