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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | BreakTheBank | HomeRunHazard | suntori | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 62% (8–5, n=13) | 57% (28–21, n=49) | 54% (304–264, n=568) | 59% (555–391, n=946) |
| Consensus PnL | $624K | $758K | $309K | -$37K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #33 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #7 | was PM monthly #792 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 57% (4 of 7 open) | 77% (51 of 66 open) | 42% (99 of 234 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | Crypto −6 pts, n=411 |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 4 at avg 52¢, ROI +50% | 100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 41% of 953 at avg 44¢, ROI −4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 0% | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 32% (won 7% of 308) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 100% of 1) | 57% (won 100% of 13) | 32% (won 100% of 31) | 24% (won 30% of 225) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 75% (won 100% of 3) | 39% (won 100% of 9) | 57% (won 100% of 55) | 24% (won 57% of 231) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 10% (won 100% of 10) | 20% (won 90% of 189) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | BreakTheBank | HomeRunHazard | suntori |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mavericks vs. Timberwolves opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | — | — | Timberwolves $67 | Mavericks $11 |
| UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card) same side · consensus Ciryl Gane | — | Ciryl Gane $326K | — | Ciryl Gane $946 |
| Commanders vs. Giants: O/U 42.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $7.3K | Under $54 |
| Memphis vs. South Florida: O/U 49.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $2.5K | Over $50 |
| Pistons vs. Wizards same side · consensus Pistons | — | — | Pistons $1.2K | Pistons $303 |
| UFC 334: Kevin Holland vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card) same side · consensus Uroš Medic | — | Uroš Medic $1.1K | — | Uroš Medic $97 |
| Spread: Wyoming (-10.5) same side · consensus UTEP | — | — | UTEP $980 | UTEP $53 |
| Spread: 76ers (-11.5) same side · consensus 76ers | — | — | 76ers $313 | 76ers $3 |
| Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $14 | — | Yes $108 |