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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Matheobong | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (5–4, n=9) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 63% (1095–632, n=1727) | 50% (1248–1260, n=2508) |
| Consensus PnL | $102K | $7.7M | $4.6M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #276 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #111 | PM monthly #48 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 86% (37 of 43 open) | 71% (70 of 98 open) | 55% (6 of 11 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 83% of 6 at avg 50¢, ROI +36% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 50% (won 100% of 3) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 41% (won 99% of 421) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 50% (won 67% of 3) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 49% (won 99% of 508) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Matheobong | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Texans (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Chargers | — | Chargers $100K | — | Texans $6.3K |
| Raiders vs. 49ers: O/U 52.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $14K | — | Under $1.3K |
| Spread: Texans (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Chargers | — | Chargers $3.9K | — | Texans $1.8K |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | — | No $423K | No $346K | — |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $304K | Yes $12K | — |
| Packers vs. Patriots same side · consensus Packers | — | Packers $104K | — | Packers $76K |