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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c4ddD52a101E05151153b712D75b7eF2b7C0486-1775042514466googleplayprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market40% (2–3, n=5)62% (13–8, n=21)67% (334–163, n=497)
Consensus PnL—$391K-$16K-$108K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #882PM monthly #15PM monthly #74PM monthly #38 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)50% (6 of 12 open)55% (24 of 44 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +32 pts n=50, ROI +31%
  • NFL +51 pts n=11, ROI +48%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—83% of 54 at avg 53¢, ROI +30%100% of 11 at avg 49¢, ROI +48%100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢—0%9% (won 100% of 1)1% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢—19% (won 70% of 10)27% (won 100% of 3)26% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢—76% (won 85% of 41)64% (won 100% of 7)40% (won 100% of 95)
Entries 70¢ and up—6% (won 100% of 3)0%33% (won 100% of 80)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c4ddD52a101E05151153b712D75b7eF2b7C0486-1775042514466googleplayprimmRN1
Spread: Bowling Green (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bowling Green
——Bowling Green $165Kent State $5
Spread: Bowling Green (-4.5)
same side · consensus Bowling Green
——Bowling Green $5.5KBowling Green $433
Kent State vs. Bowling Green: O/U 45.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $1.6KOver $27
Kent State vs. Bowling Green: O/U 55.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $156Under $642
Spread: Western Michigan (-14.5)
same side · consensus Western Michigan
——Akron $112Akron $460
Kent State vs. Bowling Green: O/U 47.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $63Over $346