Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465primmRN1Sickasulu
Record (consensus markets)57% (4474–3357, n=7831)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)63% (119–71, n=190)
Consensus PnL$8.9M$3.6M$14.8M-$54K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #344PM monthly #51PM monthly #29 + pinnedwas PM monthly #996
Sides with the consensus71% (10 of 14 open)63% (5 of 8 open)60% (108 of 179 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%63% of 221 at avg 57¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)8% (won 24% of 17)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)20% (won 48% of 44)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)57% (won 67% of 126)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)15% (won 91% of 34)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465primmRN1Sickasulu
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac
same side · consensus Arthur Fils
Arthur Fils $2.4K—Arthur Fils $11K—
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
Raptors $6.7K—Raptors $246—
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $248—Under $371—
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $194—Over $84—