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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | ndb1 | Randomfool | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 55% (17–14, n=31) | no settled market | no settled market | 50% (65–65, n=130) |
| Consensus PnL | -$239K | $0 | $75 | -$53K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #110 | PM monthly #962 | PM monthly #34 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 56% (14 of 25 open) | 74% (67 of 90 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 53% (44 of 83 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | NFL −7 pts, n=158 | Tennis −1 pts, n=24 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2% | 98% of 128 at avg 96¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 13% (won 14% of 196) | 0% | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 46% of 1753) | 18% (won 40% of 283) | 0% | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2092) | 23% (won 58% of 348) | 0% | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2125) | 46% (won 94% of 710) | 100% (won 98% of 128) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | ndb1 | Randomfool | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orleans: Clement Tabur vs Lukas Neumayer same side · consensus Clement Tabur | Clement Tabur $58K | — | — | Clement Tabur $25K |
| Sopo: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Veronika Erjavec same side · consensus Elizabeth Mandlik | Elizabeth Mandlik $8.0K | — | — | Elizabeth Mandlik $21K |
| Wizards vs. Pistons same side · consensus Pistons | Pistons $4.0K | — | — | Pistons $204 |