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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465ndb1RN1UnreasonableAwareness
Record (consensus markets)58% (4520–3300, n=7820)63% (989–572, n=1561)48% (14109–15586, n=29695)no settled market
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.2M$14.8M-$59K
Tracked asPM monthly #53PM monthly #104PM monthly #28 + pinnedwas PM monthly #182
Sides with the consensus59% (16 of 27 open)72% (68 of 95 open)65% (95 of 146 open)11% (1 of 9 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
not computed yet
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134NFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%—
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2593)—
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5682)—
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)24% (won 58% of 314)35% (won 99% of 9181)—
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8519)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465ndb1RN1UnreasonableAwareness
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus KKS Lech Poznań
KKS Lech Poznań $58K—Sport Lisboa e Benfica $16K—
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $21K—No $14K—
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $12K—Under $6—
Bratislava 2: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Kimmer Coppejans
opposite sides · consensus Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Kimmer Coppejans $11—Nicolai Budkov Kjaer $8.4K—
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $5.6K—Under $8—
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $204—Yes $12—
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $206K—Yes $18K—
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $93K—No $27K—
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $43K—No $20K—
Will FK Jablonec win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $38—No $166—
Will Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $49—No $79—
Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-1.5)
same side · consensus PFK CSKA Sofia
PFK CSKA Sofia $17—PFK CSKA Sofia $43—