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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | ndb1 | RN1 | SAPolitcsSeer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4474–3357, n=7831) | 65% (889–469, n=1358) | 47% (13371–14881, n=28252) | 95% (92–5, n=97) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | $4.2M | $14.8M | $95K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #133 | PM monthly #96 | PM monthly #30 + pinned | PM monthly #557 |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (12 of 21 open) | 74% (34 of 46 open) | 61% (129 of 210 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | Geopolitics −1 pts, n=40 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 109 at avg 95¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) | 1% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) | 99% (won 98% of 108) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | ndb1 | RN1 | SAPolitcsSeer |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $365 | — | Under $889 | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $49K | — | — | Yes $9.9K |
| Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan same side · consensus Central Michigan | Central Michigan $486 | — | Central Michigan $11K | — |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-3.5) same side · consensus Central Michigan | Central Michigan $11K | — | Central Michigan $476 | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-4.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $6.9K | — | Raptors $278 | — |
| Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | No $2.3K | — | No $779 | — |
| Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $248 | — | Under $382 | — |
| 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $194 | — | Over $28 | — |