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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | mostlywrong | primm | S-Works | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 55% (4837–4036, n=8873) | 59% (60–42, n=102) | 49% (1224–1251, n=2475) | 75% (2546–856, n=3402) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.1M | $18K | $3.6M | $3.7M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #932 | PM monthly #67 | PM monthly #72 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (18 of 30 open) | 100% (4 of 4 open) | 60% (6 of 10 open) | 67% (2 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | College Football −15 pts, n=11 | — | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 43% of 95 at avg 39¢, ROI 0% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 53% (won 12% of 50) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 6% (won 14% of 145) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 46% of 1753) | 11% (won 40% of 10) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 16% (won 48% of 367) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2092) | 8% (won 63% of 8) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 23% (won 60% of 509) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2125) | 28% (won 96% of 27) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | mostlywrong | primm | S-Works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Virginia vs. Texas Tech opposite sides · consensus Texas Tech | West Virginia $158K | — | Texas Tech $2.4K | — |
| Spread: UNLV (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus UNLV | UNLV $2.9K | — | Wyoming $291 | — |
| Wyoming vs. UNLV same side · consensus Wyoming | Wyoming $31K | — | Wyoming $33K | — |
| Texas State vs. Oregon State same side · consensus Texas State | Texas State $11K | — | Texas State $12K | — |