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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | mostlywrong | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 55% (4842–4042, n=8884) | 59% (60–42, n=102) | 64% (1101–632, n=1733) | 48% (19424–21150, n=40574) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.2M | $14K | $4.6M | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #956 | PM monthly #109 | PM monthly #32 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 55% (11 of 20 open) | 100% (4 of 4 open) | 73% (76 of 104 open) | 59% (17 of 29 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | College Football −15 pts, n=11 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 43% of 103 at avg 40¢, ROI 0% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 50% (won 12% of 52) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 46% of 1753) | 12% (won 33% of 12) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2092) | 9% (won 67% of 9) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2125) | 29% (won 93% of 30) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | mostlywrong | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Magda Linette same side · consensus Janice Tjen | Janice Tjen $18K | — | — | Janice Tjen $16K |
| Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda same side · consensus Keisuke Saitoh | Keisuke Saitoh $9.1K | — | — | Keisuke Saitoh $13K |
| USC Trojans vs. Wichita State Shockers same side · consensus USC Trojans | USC Trojans $369 | — | — | USC Trojans $3.7K |