← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | mostlywrong | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 55% (4837–4036, n=8873) | 59% (60–42, n=102) | 64% (1097–630, n=1727) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.1M | $18K | $4.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #12 | PM monthly #903 | PM monthly #96 |
| Sides with the consensus | 54% (13 of 24 open) | 100% (4 of 4 open) | 72% (108 of 149 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | College Football −15 pts, n=11 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 43% of 95 at avg 39¢, ROI 0% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 53% (won 12% of 50) | 13% (won 14% of 187) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 46% of 1753) | 11% (won 40% of 10) | 19% (won 39% of 269) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2092) | 8% (won 63% of 8) | 23% (won 57% of 328) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2125) | 28% (won 96% of 27) | 44% (won 94% of 622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.