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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpmostlywrongndb1
Record (consensus markets)54% (4948–4167, n=9115)55% (13369–10733, n=24102)59% (60–42, n=102)63% (1101–635, n=1736)
Consensus PnL$8.5M$1.4M$14K$4.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #14PM monthly #977PM monthly #109
Sides with the consensus50% (10 of 20 open)67% (90 of 135 open)100% (4 of 4 open)70% (68 of 97 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +10 pts n=467, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2316, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136NFL −24 pts, n=12College Football −15 pts, n=11NFL −7 pts, n=158
Settled positions, side won59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%43% of 103 at avg 40¢, ROI 0%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)30% (won 9% of 919)50% (won 12% of 52)13% (won 14% of 196)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 46% of 1753)15% (won 37% of 455)12% (won 33% of 12)18% (won 40% of 283)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2092)14% (won 63% of 439)9% (won 67% of 9)23% (won 58% of 348)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2125)42% (won 94% of 1302)29% (won 93% of 30)46% (won 94% of 710)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpmostlywrongndb1
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
Yes $6.4KYes $2.8K——