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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | mostlywrong | ndb1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 55% (4837–4036, n=8873) | 59% (60–42, n=102) | 64% (1097–630, n=1727) | 49% (1224–1251, n=2475) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.1M | $18K | $4.8M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #929 | PM monthly #98 | PM monthly #52 |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (16 of 28 open) | 100% (4 of 4 open) | 74% (112 of 152 open) | 67% (6 of 9 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | College Football −15 pts, n=11 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 43% of 95 at avg 39¢, ROI 0% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 53% (won 12% of 50) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 46% of 1753) | 11% (won 40% of 10) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 41% (won 99% of 421) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2092) | 8% (won 63% of 8) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 49% (won 99% of 508) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2125) | 28% (won 96% of 27) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | mostlywrong | ndb1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Bengals (-3.5) same side · consensus Bengals | Falcons $35K | — | — | Falcons $7.9K |
| Bengals vs. Falcons: O/U 52.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $5.0K | — | — | Under $605 |