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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465keeptheblueflagflyinghighojgRN1
Record (consensus markets)47% (59–66, n=125)45% (192–239, n=431)89% (57–7, n=64)66% (476–241, n=717)
Consensus PnL-$292K$36K$6.6K-$145K
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #43PM monthly #598PM monthly #44 + pinned
Sides with the consensus63% (5 of 8 open)59% (10 of 17 open)0% (0 of 1 open)33% (2 of 6 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +37 pts n=16, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35%100% of 134 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%92% of 49 at avg 77¢, ROI +1%100% of 205 at avg 68¢, ROI +33%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 0% of 1)5% (won 100% of 7)6% (won 0% of 3)6% (won 100% of 12)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 94% of 17)38% (won 100% of 51)8% (won 75% of 4)13% (won 100% of 26)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 100% of 33)50% (won 100% of 67)14% (won 100% of 7)30% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 100% of 16)7% (won 100% of 9)71% (won 100% of 35)51% (won 100% of 105)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465keeptheblueflagflyinghighojgRN1
Brisbane 3: Alafia Ayeni vs Alex Bolt
same side · consensus Alex Bolt
Alafia Ayeni $32KAlafia Ayeni $40KAlafia Ayeni $195—
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B
opposite sides · consensus MOUZ
MOUZ $188KG2 $1.0K——
W35 Heraklion: Giorgia Pedone vs Marianna Argyrokastriti
opposite sides · consensus Marianna Argyrokastriti
—Marianna Argyrokastriti $419—Giorgia Pedone $873
W35 Heraklion: Elena Ruxandra Bertea vs Teodora Miron
opposite sides · consensus Elena Ruxandra Bertea
—Elena Ruxandra Bertea $375—Teodora Miron $602
W35 Heraklion: Giulia Safina Popa vs Maria Golovina
opposite sides · consensus Giulia Safina Popa
—Maria Golovina $102—Giulia Safina Popa $405
Hersonissos 3: Francesco Maestrelli vs Johannus Monday
same side · consensus Francesco Maestrelli
—Johannus Monday $379—Johannus Monday $1.1K
W35 Heraklion: Denislava Glushkova vs Lucie Nguyen Tan
same side · consensus Lucie Nguyen Tan
—Denislava Glushkova $72—Denislava Glushkova $117