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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465joseph00677RN1ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG
Record (consensus markets)58% (4536–3322, n=7858)45% (10–12, n=22)48% (14165–15642, n=29807)60% (6577–4448, n=11025)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$5.3M$14.8M$54K
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #2PM monthly #29 + pinnedPM monthly #540
Sides with the consensus58% (14 of 24 open)no open consensus position45% (13 of 29 open)64% (25 of 39 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=460, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2312, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%98% of 2346 at avg 62¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2593)6% (won 90% of 152)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1746)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5682)20% (won 96% of 477)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2085)65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9181)34% (won 98% of 806)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2120)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8519)39% (won 100% of 911)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465joseph00677RN1ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Alexandra Eala
opposite sides · consensus Alexandra Eala
Antonia Ruzic $7.4K—Alexandra Eala $48K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Tommy Paul
opposite sides · consensus Ben Shelton
Tommy Paul $27—Ben Shelton $25K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8K——No $8
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $2.5KYes $7
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $56——No $27
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
same side · consensus No
No $172K——No $23
Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Magda Linette
same side · consensus Mai Hontama
Mai Hontama $724—Mai Hontama $17K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $3.3KOver $10
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $1.6KOver $6
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $27——Yes $66