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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | joseph00677 | JudgeLance | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4537–3326, n=7863) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 67% (33–16, n=49) | 48% (14153–15617, n=29770) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.7M | $5.3M | -$36K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #495 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (15 of 25 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 51% (79 of 154 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | NBA −16 pts, n=13 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 60% of 68 at avg 60¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 1% (won 0% of 1) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1746) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 6% (won 50% of 4) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2085) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 71% (won 54% of 48) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2120) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 22% (won 87% of 15) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | joseph00677 | JudgeLance | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz opposite sides · consensus Carlos Alcaraz | Carlos Alcaraz $107K | — | — | Taylor Fritz $24K |
| Oxford City FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $12K | — | — | Under $9 |
| Oxford City FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $7.6K | — | — | Under $25 |
| Will Wolfsberger AC win on 2026-11-06? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $2.1K | — | — | No $3.7K |
| Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-11-06? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $194 | — | — | No $1.8K |
| Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | No $1.7K | — | — | No $5 |