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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465gt7238keeptheblueflagflyinghighRN1
Record (consensus markets)48% (61–67, n=128)36% (5–9, n=14)44% (193–241, n=434)66% (479–242, n=721)
Consensus PnL-$304K$6.3K$16K-$140K
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #775PM monthly #45PM monthly #44 + pinned
Sides with the consensus38% (3 of 8 open)33% (3 of 9 open)59% (10 of 17 open)100% (3 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +37 pts n=16, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35%100% of 6 at avg 43¢, ROI +50%100% of 134 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%100% of 205 at avg 68¢, ROI +33%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 0% of 1)17% (won 100% of 1)5% (won 100% of 7)6% (won 100% of 12)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 94% of 17)50% (won 100% of 3)38% (won 100% of 51)13% (won 100% of 26)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 100% of 33)33% (won 100% of 2)50% (won 100% of 67)30% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 100% of 16)0%7% (won 100% of 9)51% (won 100% of 105)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465gt7238keeptheblueflagflyinghighRN1
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)
opposite sides · consensus MOUZ
G2 $53MOUZ $309G2 $13K—
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B
same side · consensus MOUZ
MOUZ $119MOUZ $3MOUZ $23K—
Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B
opposite sides · consensus LEGION
—Xipto Esports $97LEGION $18K—
M25 San Gregorio di Catania: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Mak Mikovic
opposite sides · consensus Tommaso Compagnucci
——Mak Mikovic $31Tommaso Compagnucci $1.3K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Alejandro Tabilo
same side · consensus Lorenzo Sonego
Lorenzo Sonego $54K——Lorenzo Sonego $4.1K
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
Thunder $195Thunder $115——