← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | googleplay | primm | robustmst | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 43% (43–56, n=99) | 33% (2–4, n=6) | 65% (17–9, n=26) | 41% (12–17, n=29) |
| Consensus PnL | -$536K | $320K | -$10K | $208K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #70 | PM monthly #29 |
| Sides with the consensus | 52% (11 of 21 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) | 64% (7 of 11 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 83% of 54 at avg 53¢, ROI +30% | 100% of 11 at avg 49¢, ROI +48% | 82% of 55 at avg 47¢, ROI +32% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 0% | 9% (won 100% of 1) | 2% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 19% (won 70% of 10) | 27% (won 100% of 3) | 65% (won 78% of 36) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 76% (won 85% of 41) | 64% (won 100% of 7) | 29% (won 94% of 16) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 6% (won 100% of 3) | 0% | 4% (won 50% of 2) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | googleplay | primm | robustmst |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Magic (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Magic $169K | Kings $57K | — | — |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | Thunder $110K | Trail Blazers $52K | — | — |
| Ohio vs. Miami (OH) opposite sides · consensus Ohio | Miami (OH) $31K | — | Ohio $9.4K | — |