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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | googleplay | RN1 | ThanksGivingTurkey1001 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (36–37, n=73) | 40% (2–3, n=5) | 69% (305–140, n=445) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | -$388K | $391K | -$54K | $0 |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #35 | PM monthly #15 | PM monthly #34 + pinned | PM monthly #210 |
| Sides with the consensus | 40% (2 of 5 open) | no open consensus position | 57% (4 of 7 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | — | Crypto −11 pts, n=16 |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 83% of 54 at avg 53¢, ROI +30% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% | 73% of 146 at avg 71¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 0% | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 14% (won 29% of 21) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 19% (won 70% of 10) | 26% (won 100% of 62) | 10% (won 50% of 14) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 76% (won 85% of 41) | 40% (won 100% of 95) | 12% (won 65% of 17) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 6% (won 100% of 3) | 33% (won 100% of 80) | 64% (won 88% of 94) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | googleplay | RN1 | ThanksGivingTurkey1001 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hersonissos 3: Oskari Paldanius vs Raul Brancaccio opposite sides · consensus Oskari Paldanius | Raul Brancaccio $1.2K | — | Oskari Paldanius $56K | — |