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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | fantasy7788 | joseph00677 | NM-P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (41–47, n=88) | 100% (2–0, n=2) | no settled market | 52% (28–26, n=54) |
| Consensus PnL | -$411K | $245K | — | -$1.1K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #82 | PM monthly #6 | PM monthly #504 |
| Sides with the consensus | 54% (13 of 24 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 63% (22 of 35 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 100% of 2 at avg 51¢, ROI +50% | 62% of 13 at avg 59¢, ROI +33% | 100% of 409 at avg 52¢, ROI +27% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 0% | 8% (won 0% of 1) | 9% (won 100% of 38) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 8% (won 0% of 1) | 39% (won 100% of 161) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 69% (won 67% of 9) | 36% (won 100% of 149) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 0% | 15% (won 100% of 2) | 15% (won 100% of 61) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | fantasy7788 | joseph00677 | NM-P |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Heat (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Jazz $19K | — | — | Heat $625 |
| Bucks vs. Knicks opposite sides · consensus Knicks | Bucks $8.5K | — | — | Knicks $2.0K |
| Spread: Magic (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | Kings $5.9K | — | — | Magic $151 |
| Spread: Bowling Green (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Kent State | Kent State $222 | — | — | Bowling Green $308 |