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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | e46m3 | RN1 | robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (37–39, n=76) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 68% (310–145, n=455) | 63% (12–7, n=19) |
| Consensus PnL | -$387K | $28 | -$57K | $251K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #37 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #36 + pinned | PM monthly #39 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 85% (11 of 13 open) | 80% (12 of 15 open) | 75% (39 of 52 open) | 50% (2 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | Tech ±0 pts, n=36 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 93% of 626 at avg 90¢, ROI +2% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% | 100% of 9 at avg 49¢, ROI +49% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 7% (won 11% of 46) | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 11% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 1% (won 86% of 7) | 26% (won 100% of 62) | 33% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 1% (won 75% of 8) | 40% (won 100% of 95) | 44% (won 100% of 4) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 90% (won 100% of 565) | 33% (won 100% of 80) | 11% (won 100% of 1) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | e46m3 | RN1 | robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CF Trival Valderas vs. CD Leganés: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $5.7K | — | Under $388 | — |
| Real Madrid CF Femenino vs. Paris FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $53K | — | Over $6.5K | — |
| Lima: Elmer Moeller vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri same side · consensus Elmer Moeller | Elmer Moeller $4.3K | — | Elmer Moeller $7.1K | — |