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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | crmannetje | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4487–3372, n=7859) | 52% (23–21, n=44) | 50% (1082–1097, n=2179) | 47% (13369–14864, n=28233) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | $45K | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #123 | PM monthly #490 | PM monthly #50 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (10 of 15 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 60% (75 of 124 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | Soccer −18 pts, n=17 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 59% of 41 at avg 47¢, ROI +20% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 27% (won 27% of 11) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 24% (won 60% of 10) | 41% (won 99% of 405) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 37% (won 67% of 15) | 49% (won 99% of 485) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 12% (won 100% of 5) | 5% (won 100% of 46) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | crmannetje | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Lakers (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | Kings $9.6K | — | — | Lakers $3 |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys same side · consensus Quentin Halys | Quentin Halys $12K | — | — | Quentin Halys $1.2K |
| Spread: Nuggets (-4.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $6.6K | — | — | Raptors $275 |
| Spread: Spurs (-12.5) same side · consensus Spurs | Spurs $305 | — | — | Spurs $183 |