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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465bot-rapinBreakTheBankFlaznorp
Record (consensus markets)49% (36–38, n=74)100% (5–0, n=5)60% (12–8, n=20)74% (427–151, n=578)
Consensus PnL-$388K$380$779K$53K
Tracked asPM monthly #36PM monthly #504PM monthly #1PM monthly #20
Sides with the consensus67% (4 of 6 open)100% (7 of 7 open)0% (0 of 2 open)69% (74 of 108 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=21——Soccer −8 pts, n=40
Settled positions, side won63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0%100% of 28 at avg 96¢, ROI +15%95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%
Entries under 30¢15% (won 11% of 287)0%11% (won 69% of 36)34% (won 10% of 30)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 50% of 452)4% (won 100% of 1)35% (won 97% of 116)19% (won 29% of 17)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 68% of 546)0%37% (won 99% of 124)13% (won 55% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 93% of 588)96% (won 100% of 27)17% (won 100% of 56)34% (won 83% of 30)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465bot-rapinBreakTheBankFlaznorp
CF Trival Valderas vs. CD Leganés: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $11K——Under $849
CF Trival Valderas vs. CD Leganés: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $8.3K——Over $288