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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | boltbison | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4522–3297, n=7819) | 54% (14–12, n=26) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 52% (6524–6030, n=12554) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $19K | $7.9M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #54 | PM monthly #963 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #21 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (15 of 25 open) | no open consensus position | 82% (23 of 28 open) | 73% (223 of 305 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 100% of 14 at avg 56¢, ROI +42% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 21% (won 100% of 3) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 465) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 7% (won 100% of 1) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 255) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 36% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 16% (won 62% of 260) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 36% (won 100% of 5) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 39% (won 94% of 637) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | boltbison | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | — | Yes $45K | — |
| K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $13K | — | — | Under $3.1K |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Casper Ruud opposite sides · consensus Casper Ruud | Jan-Lennard Struff $2.7K | — | — | Casper Ruud $8.0K |
| Bratislava 2: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Kimmer Coppejans opposite sides · consensus Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | Kimmer Coppejans $81 | — | — | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer $2.2K |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $530 | — | — | Over $211 |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $200K | — | — | Yes $36K |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $93K | — | — | No $48K |
| Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $44K | — | — | No $47K |
| Will FK Jablonec win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $38 | — | — | No $2.8K |
| Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-1.5) same side · consensus PFK CSKA Sofia | PFK CSKA Sofia $17 | — | — | PFK CSKA Sofia $1.7K |