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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465beachboy4morito181primm
Record (consensus markets)57% (4513–3386, n=7899)no settled market69% (537–245, n=782)50% (1103–1116, n=2219)
Consensus PnL$8.9M—$1.2M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #83—PM monthly #109 + pinnedPM monthly #46
Sides with the consensus77% (10 of 13 open)no open consensus position82% (152 of 186 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
not computed yet
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134—Mentions −13 pts, n=20—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%—71% of 918 at avg 70¢, ROI +4%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)—22% (won 6% of 202)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)—5% (won 43% of 49)41% (won 99% of 405)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)—6% (won 53% of 55)49% (won 99% of 485)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)—67% (won 96% of 612)5% (won 100% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465beachboy4morito181primm
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $50K—Yes $1.9K—
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus No
No $210—No $188—