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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465beachboy4crmannetjeRN1
Record (consensus markets)57% (4473–3351, n=7824)no settled market55% (23–19, n=42)47% (13362–14874, n=28236)
Consensus PnL$8.9M—$57K$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #344—PM monthly #486PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus73% (8 of 11 open)no open consensus position0% (0 of 1 open)70% (126 of 181 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
not computed yet
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134—Soccer −5 pts, n=11—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%—64% of 25 at avg 44¢, ROI +25%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)—32% (won 38% of 8)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)—24% (won 67% of 6)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)—40% (won 80% of 10)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)—4% (won 100% of 1)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465beachboy4crmannetjeRN1
Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Learner Tien
opposite sides · consensus Luca Van Assche
Luca Van Assche $6.3K——Learner Tien $16K
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Maya Joint vs Maria Sakkari
same side · consensus Maya Joint
Maya Joint $469——Maya Joint $12K
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $185——Over $82