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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465beachboy4FlaznorpHashbrown
Record (consensus markets)58% (4518–3301, n=7819)no settled market52% (6473–6009, n=12482)90% (662–70, n=732)
Consensus PnL$7.9M—$3.6M$175K
Tracked asPM monthly #65—PM monthly #19PM monthly #326
Sides with the consensus69% (18 of 26 open)no open consensus position75% (121 of 162 open)100% (4 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
not computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22Elections −10 pts, n=32
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%93% of 659 at avg 93¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)—29% (won 11% of 465)2% (won 0% of 10)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)—16% (won 40% of 255)0%
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)—16% (won 62% of 260)3% (won 59% of 17)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)—39% (won 94% of 637)96% (won 95% of 632)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465beachboy4FlaznorpHashbrown
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming
Bilibili Gaming $268K—Dplus KIA $25—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $11K—Under $254—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8K—No $499—
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $52K——Yes $10
Cali: Leolia Jeanjean vs Alice Tubello
same side · consensus Alice Tubello
Alice Tubello $2.4K—Alice Tubello $4.6K—