← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | errormargin | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4518–3290, n=7808) | no settled market | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 54% (199–170, n=369) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | — | $7.9M | $46K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #67 | — | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #794 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (12 of 18 open) | no open consensus position | 79% (27 of 34 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet | |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | — | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 93% of 256 at avg 63¢, ROI +19% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | — | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 4% (won 56% of 9) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | — | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 20% (won 87% of 52) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | — | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 47% (won 95% of 120) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | — | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 29% (won 99% of 75) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | errormargin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.4K | — | Yes $78K | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $56 | — | No $90K | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.5K | — | No $1.0K | — |