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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | basedcigani | ndb1 | S-Works | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (4827–4032, n=8859) | 62% (241–150, n=391) | 63% (1095–632, n=1727) | 75% (2542–853, n=3395) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.2M | $3.7K | $4.6M | $3.7M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #14 | Hand-picked | PM monthly #111 | PM monthly #72 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (15 of 30 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 71% (70 of 98 open) | 50% (2 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | Tech −1 pts, n=10 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 73% of 457 at avg 72¢, ROI 0% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 26% (won 7% of 120) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 6% (won 14% of 145) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 46% of 1753) | 3% (won 67% of 15) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 16% (won 48% of 367) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2092) | 3% (won 64% of 14) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 23% (won 60% of 509) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2125) | 67% (won 100% of 308) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | basedcigani | ndb1 | S-Works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winner same side · consensus T1 | Bilibili Gaming $155K | — | — | Bilibili Gaming $142K |