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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465baisjexFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)48% (62–68, n=130)no settled market75% (739–246, n=985)44% (193–242, n=435)
Consensus PnL-$290K—$69K$17K
Tracked asPM monthly #9—PM monthly #14PM monthly #45
Sides with the consensus29% (2 of 7 open)no open consensus position69% (74 of 108 open)73% (11 of 15 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +37 pts n=16, ROI +37%
not computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Soccer −8 pts, n=40—
Settled positions, side won97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35%—44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%100% of 134 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 0% of 1)—34% (won 10% of 30)5% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 94% of 17)—19% (won 29% of 17)38% (won 100% of 51)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 100% of 33)—13% (won 55% of 11)50% (won 100% of 67)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 100% of 16)—34% (won 83% of 30)7% (won 100% of 9)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465baisjexFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Monastir: Kilian Feldbausch vs Tiago Pereira
opposite sides · consensus Tiago Pereira
Kilian Feldbausch $72K—Kilian Feldbausch $552Tiago Pereira $3.3K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud
opposite sides · consensus Casper Ruud
——Alexander Shevchenko $958Casper Ruud $5.2K
Monastir: Jay Clarke vs Pedro Vives Marcos
opposite sides · consensus Pedro Vives Marcos
——Pedro Vives Marcos $3.3KJay Clarke $154
WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova
opposite sides · consensus Elina Svitolina
——Karolina Muchova $2.3KElina Svitolina $447
W35 Heraklion: Anna Petkovic vs Tina Nadine Smith
opposite sides · consensus Anna Petkovic
——Anna Petkovic $601Tina Nadine Smith $452
Monastir: Eliakim Coulibaly vs Luka Mikrut
opposite sides · consensus Luka Mikrut
——Eliakim Coulibaly $85Luka Mikrut $120
BNP Paribas Nordic Open (Doubles): Pavlasek/Rikl vs Arends/Johnson
same side · consensus Pavlasek/Rikl
——Pavlasek/Rikl $4.1KPavlasek/Rikl $1.9K
WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Mirra Andreeva
same side · consensus Aryna Sabalenka
——Aryna Sabalenka $984Aryna Sabalenka $3.6K