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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | RN1 | soapbubbles | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4473–3354, n=7827) | 47% (13363–14875, n=28238) | 82% (14–3, n=17) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | $14.8M | $15K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #344 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #767 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (12 of 20 open) | 66% (175 of 267 open) | 60% (9 of 15 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 82% of 17 at avg 77¢, ROI +16% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) | 18% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) | 71% (won 92% of 12) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | RN1 | soapbubbles |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cali: Laura Samson vs Carole Monnet opposite sides · consensus Laura Samson | Laura Samson $5.4K | Carole Monnet $9.0K | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Carlos Alcaraz opposite sides · consensus Carlos Alcaraz | Alex Michelsen $3.9K | Carlos Alcaraz $9.9K | — |
| 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $357 | Under $278 | — |
| Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 1 Arsenal FC? same side · consensus No | No $86K | No $4.6K | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Ugo Humbert same side · consensus Matteo Berrettini | Matteo Berrettini $22K | Matteo Berrettini $14K | — |
| Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $11K | No $5.3K | — |
| Will PSV win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus Yes | No $318 | No $495 | — |
| Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $251 | Under $379 | — |
| 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $194 | Over $81 | — |