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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | joseph00677 | RN1 | soapbubbles | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4487–3372, n=7859) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 47% (13369–14864, n=28233) | 86% (18–3, n=21) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | $5.6M | $14.8M | $22K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #123 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #28 + pinned | PM monthly #897 |
| Sides with the consensus | 62% (8 of 13 open) | no open consensus position | 61% (67 of 110 open) | 56% (10 of 18 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 82% of 17 at avg 77¢, ROI +16% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) | 18% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) | 71% (won 92% of 12) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | joseph00677 | RN1 | soapbubbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Lakers (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | Kings $9.6K | — | Lakers $3 | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-12.5) same side · consensus Spurs | Spurs $305 | — | Spurs $183 | — |