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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | RN1 | ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4536–3323, n=7859) | 48% (14167–15642, n=29809) | 60% (6578–4449, n=11027) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $14.8M | $54K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #29 + pinned | PM monthly #541 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (16 of 24 open) | 49% (19 of 39 open) | 69% (25 of 36 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 2346 at avg 62¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) | 6% (won 90% of 152) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1746) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) | 20% (won 96% of 477) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2085) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) | 34% (won 98% of 806) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2120) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) | 39% (won 100% of 911) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | RN1 | ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $5.8K | — | No $8 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $2.5K | Yes $7 |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $51 | — | No $27 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? same side · consensus No | No $172K | — | No $24 |
| Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Magda Linette same side · consensus Mai Hontama | Mai Hontama $15K | Mai Hontama $18K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $3.3K | Over $10 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $1.6K | Over $6 |
| Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $27 | — | Yes $66 |