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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Multicoloured-Serf | ndb1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (4949–4167, n=9116) | 47% (452–501, n=953) | 63% (1100–635, n=1735) | 47% (1430–1597, n=3027) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.5M | $519K | $4.6M | $3.7M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #110 | PM monthly #40 |
| Sides with the consensus | 54% (13 of 24 open) | 53% (10 of 19 open) | 71% (67 of 94 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | NFL −7 pts, n=158 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 100% of 411 at avg 52¢, ROI +50% | 66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1269 at avg 51¢, ROI +50% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 1% (won 100% of 4) | 13% (won 14% of 196) | 5% (won 95% of 59) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 46% of 1753) | 47% (won 100% of 194) | 18% (won 40% of 283) | 40% (won 99% of 512) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2092) | 47% (won 100% of 194) | 23% (won 58% of 348) | 50% (won 100% of 633) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2125) | 5% (won 100% of 19) | 46% (won 94% of 710) | 5% (won 100% of 65) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Multicoloured-Serf | ndb1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bills vs. Vikings: O/U 44.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $35 | Over $37K | — | — |
| Wizards vs. Pistons same side · consensus Pistons | Pistons $3.9K | Pistons $8.0K | — | — |