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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | JudgeLance | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4539–3321, n=7860) | 67% (33–16, n=49) | 47% (14228–15728, n=29956) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | -$36K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #493 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 58% (11 of 19 open) | no open consensus position | 45% (10 of 22 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | NBA −16 pts, n=13 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1% | 60% of 68 at avg 60¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 1% (won 0% of 1) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1743) | 6% (won 50% of 4) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2080) | 71% (won 54% of 48) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2114) | 22% (won 87% of 15) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | JudgeLance | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Claire Liu same side · consensus Claire Liu | Zeynep Sonmez $835 | — | Zeynep Sonmez $2.9K |