Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465J-E-RprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)55% (4842–4042, n=8884)44% (159–201, n=360)47% (1389–1566, n=2955)48% (19424–21150, n=40574)
Consensus PnL$8.2M$37K$3.6M$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #9was PM monthly #418PM monthly #39PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensus55% (11 of 20 open)86% (62 of 72 open)no open consensus position55% (17 of 31 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +10 pts n=467, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2316, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
  • NBA +3 pts n=21, ROI −1%
  • F1 +5 pts n=54, ROI +4%
  • Politics +2 pts n=33, ROI +2%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136Elections −1 pts, n=78——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%28% of 378 at avg 27¢, ROI 0%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)70% (won 4% of 263)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 46% of 1753)4% (won 53% of 15)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2092)6% (won 70% of 23)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2125)20% (won 92% of 77)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465J-E-RprimmRN1
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
same side · consensus No
No $178KNo $24——
Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda
same side · consensus Keisuke Saitoh
Keisuke Saitoh $9.1K——Keisuke Saitoh $41K
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
No $4.5KNo $22——
UT Arlington Mavericks vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors
same side · consensus Hawaii Rainbow Warriors
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors $54——Hawaii Rainbow Warriors $659