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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465IlIIIIIIlIIlllIIIllRN1
Record (consensus markets)54% (4949–4167, n=9116)100% (12–0, n=12)48% (19699–21461, n=41160)
Consensus PnL$8.5M$20K$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #9was PM monthly #939PM monthly #34 + pinned
Sides with the consensus46% (12 of 26 open)no open consensus position58% (42 of 72 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +10 pts n=467, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2316, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136Esports ±0 pts, n=10—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%90% of 10 at avg 90¢, ROI +5%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)0%10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 46% of 1753)0%22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2092)0%35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2125)100% (won 90% of 10)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465IlIIIIIIlIIlllIIIllRN1
Sopo: Tatjana Maria vs Luisina Giovannini
opposite sides · consensus Luisina Giovannini
Tatjana Maria $14K—Luisina Giovannini $51K
Orleans: Clement Tabur vs Lukas Neumayer
same side · consensus Clement Tabur
Clement Tabur $44K—Clement Tabur $25K
Wizards vs. Pistons
same side · consensus Pistons
Pistons $3.6K—Pistons $201
Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch
same side · consensus Tom Gentzsch
Max Houkes $1—Max Houkes $698