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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | HerbertAppreciator | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4516–3391, n=7907) | 25% (31–95, n=126) | 47% (13863–15370, n=29233) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $146K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #70 | PM monthly #364 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (15 of 20 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 50% (14 of 28 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 84% of 37 at avg 37¢, ROI +15% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 41% (won 67% of 15) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 32% (won 92% of 12) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 16% (won 100% of 6) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 11% (won 100% of 4) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | HerbertAppreciator | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $56 | Yes $5.6K | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys same side · consensus Quentin Halys | Quentin Halys $13K | — | Quentin Halys $1.3K |