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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465GC-Pjoseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4537–3326, n=7863)82% (5646–1279, n=6925)45% (10–12, n=22)48% (14153–15617, n=29770)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$148K$5.3M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #619PM monthly #2PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus60% (15 of 25 open)71% (92 of 129 open)no open consensus position55% (61 of 111 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=460, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2312, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%100% of 4406 at avg 68¢, ROI +29%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)6% (won 99% of 262)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2588)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1746)21% (won 100% of 913)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5673)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2085)22% (won 100% of 971)65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9163)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2120)51% (won 100% of 2260)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8536)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

20 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465GC-Pjoseph00677RN1
Will Wolfsberger AC win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.1KNo $3.3K—No $3.7K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.9KNo $1.8K——
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.2K—Yes $2.1K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $585—No $2.5K
Spread: Hawks (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
—Hawks $179—Wizards $116
Will Hammarby IF win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $67—Yes $151
FC Eindhoven vs. Jong Ajax Amsterdam: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $168—Under $2
Will AS Nancy-Lorraine win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $997—Yes $10K
Will Standard Liege win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $1.4K—Yes $8.5K
Will US Boulogne Côte d'Opale win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $523—No $5.6K
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $1.7KNo $1.6K——
Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges
same side · consensus Casper Ruud
—Nuno Borges $247—Nuno Borges $1.1K
Will PEC Zwolle win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.1K—No $219
Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $763—Under $511
Will Stade de Reims win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $47—No $1.1K
Will Heracles Almelo win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $476—Yes $419
Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $655—Under $161
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
—Hornets $228—Hornets $341
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
same side · consensus Kings
—Kings $116—Kings $245
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
same side · consensus Kings
—Kings $154—Kings $110
Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $195—Under $1
Exact Score: Hamburger SV 3 - 1 Borussia Mönchengladbach?
same side · consensus No
—No $167—No $21
Will FC Metz win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $90—Yes $53
Will Willem II Tilburg vs. PEC Zwolle end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $55—No $78
Exact Score: Hamburger SV 2 - 3 Borussia Mönchengladbach?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $4—Yes $74
Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
—No $42—No $5
Will AS Nancy-Lorraine vs. FC Sochaux-Montbéliard end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $16—No $4