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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpprimmVanchalkenstein
Record (consensus markets)58% (4539–3322, n=7861)52% (6615–6145, n=12760)50% (1116–1128, n=2244)53% (285–250, n=535)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$3.6M$3.6M-$1.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #10PM monthly #51PM monthly #579
Sides with the consensus61% (11 of 18 open)79% (110 of 139 open)no open consensus position0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=459, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2301, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1407, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—NBA −3 pts, n=123
Settled positions, side won59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%54% of 580 at avg 49¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)29% (won 11% of 465)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 24% of 58)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1743)16% (won 40% of 255)41% (won 99% of 412)47% (won 51% of 271)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2080)16% (won 62% of 260)50% (won 99% of 503)32% (won 60% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2114)39% (won 94% of 637)5% (won 100% of 47)11% (won 77% of 64)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpprimmVanchalkenstein
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $11KUnder $254——
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8KNo $494——